Advancing integrated scenarios and prediction models for informing transition to a nature positive society
Horizon Europe: Development of integrated scenarios and predictive models to support the transition to a nature-positive society. EU-wide submission deadline 17.09.2026.
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Grant criteria
Funding objective
Development and validation of integrated scenarios and predictive models to support nature-positive and equitable policies for different ecosystems and to provide decision-making foundations for the implementation of the European Green Deal, the 2030 Biodiversity Strategy, and related frameworks.
Eligible expenses
- Personnel expenses
- Material costs
- Subcontractor costs
- Travel and accommodation expenses
- Equipment
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Non-eligible expenses
- Purchase of real estate
- Retroactive costs
- Financing of pure infrastructure investments
Eligible to apply
- Educational Institutions
- Companies
- Non-profit Organizations
- Foundations
- Public Institutions
- Founders
Funding requirements
- Participation by a consortium with at least three independent institutions from different countries
- Relation to the EU Biodiversity Strategy and the Green Deal
- Experience in interdisciplinary modeling and scenario development
Documents required for application
- Curricula vitae
- Project description
- Description of scenario approaches
- Financing plan
- Proof of interdisciplinary expertise
Evaluation criteria
- Clarity and relevance of the research objectives
- Credibility of the expected impacts
- Quality and efficiency of project implementation
Description
Advancing integrated scenarios and prediction models for informing transition to a nature positive society targets consortia from universities, research institutions, companies, and non-profit organizations active in the field of environmental and biodiversity modeling. Under Horizon Europe, a grant of up to €5 million per project for 36 months is awarded (100% funding rate). Applications can be submitted by educational institutions, start-ups, foundations, as well as public bodies from EU Member States and associated countries until 17.09.2026. The objective is the development and validation of integrated scenarios and predictive models that support policies for various ecosystems and provide decision-making foundations for the European Green Deal, the Biodiversity Strategy 2030, and related frameworks. Funding covers personnel, material, subcontracting, travel and accommodation costs, equipment procurement, and data acquisition. Real estate purchases, retrospective costs, and pure infrastructure investments are not eligible.
Projects should design scenario frameworks that represent human-environment interactions (e.g., climate, land use, social changes) and quantify uncertainties. At least two European biogeographical regions must be examined in case studies. Interdisciplinary teams must demonstrate expertise in ecology, climate, social, and economic sciences and provide experience in model intercomparison experiments. Consortia must consist of at least three independent institutions from different countries and ensure close cooperation with the EC Knowledge Centre for Biodiversity as well as ESA projects. Evaluation criteria include clarity and relevance of research objectives, credibility of expected impacts, and quality and efficiency of implementation. Required application documents are CVs, project and scenario descriptions, financial plan, and proof of interdisciplinary expertise.
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